By in Health & Fitness

Yet One More Coronavirus Factor

I've penned two other brief Coronavirus pieces, prior to this one, yet using essentially the same graph to illustrate aspects of its behavior in the U.S.

1. http://www.personapaper.com/article/48344-corona-virus-part-two

2. http://www.personapaper.com/article/48345-corona-virus-part-two-a-continuance

Yes, using that very same graph, I now illustrate that it is likely a lessening of restrictions followed by a tightening back up does not return things back to their original bad status, but actually makes matters worse than they were in the first place.

In the first articles, I noted that there is a surge in acknowledged cases of coronavirus after some restrictions in some locations have been decreased. This surge is in persons diagnosed with the virus, rather than deaths, recoveries, deaths due to other causes, etc. Just numbers of persons acknowledged to have the virus.

I noticed that the rate of new cases acknowledged not only increased in number, but in rate as well.That is how many/how fast. So I copied the curve at the point just above the old growth rate and pasted it at the based of the curve to illustrate the amount of confirmed cases is going up faster than if restrictions had not been lifted.

Folks, the lessening of restrictions definitely made matters worse. The question people need to ask themselves is, is it worth it? Or will I take precautions sufficient to keep well?


Image Credit » Edited Johns Hopkins Corona Virus Acknowledge Cases in the U.S. May - July 2020

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Comments

MegL wrote on July 21, 2020, 8:20 AM

Yes, I would think that lessening restrictions would inevitably lead to an increase in cases. Would it, however, lead to a big increase in deaths? Any death of someone diagnosed as having Covid 19 is currently being shown as a covid death, even if they died from a road accident! Anyone who is vulnerable should probably stay protected, while the rest of the population gets covid and hopefully gets over it.

VinceSummers wrote on July 21, 2020, 8:38 AM

Probably some of that. The cool thing about my post is, none of that is even considered. It shows that, not only more cases are generated by the temporary relaxation done American style, but the rate of increase is greater, as well. Whatever the outcome. Still, some feel that only the elderly or those compromised are likely to die from the virus. As I understand it, to some degree, that image is being tweaked?

MegL wrote on July 21, 2020, 4:05 PM

In the UK, one "expert" said that children are more likely to die by being struck by lightning than from Covid. Apparently extra weight can be a big factor in suffering a life threatening bout of Covid. An expert on weight problems who is himself overweight, caught covid. He recovered but he is now looking into why it is. I assume (silly) that with loosening of restrictions, more people gather together or are in crowded situations, therefore if anyone has the virus, there are more opportunities for it to spread, so higher rate of increase?

VinceSummers wrote on July 22, 2020, 3:30 PM

There you go. More of what a chemist might call "points of nucleation".

MegL wrote on July 23, 2020, 2:46 AM

Yes, more points of risk. BY the way, some early research (not officially published yet but seen in a reputable journal) suggests that fermented vegetables, such as kimchi and sauerkraut have a protective effect against covid. The researchers were looking into why certain countries have low death rates and the main factor seemed to be fermented veg.

VinceSummers wrote on July 23, 2020, 5:30 PM

Somebody said something like that the other day. I heard what kimchee is, and I don't think I'd care to try it.

MegL wrote on July 24, 2020, 7:48 AM

I have only tried it a few times, it's not bad, maybe an acquired taste. Sauerkraut was something I heard of for a long time and never fancied it but someone in a market offered me a taste and I was surprised at how nice it was and I bought some. It's quite expensive, round here but there are plenty of recipes for making your own, using brine or vinegar and common vegetables. Fermenting vegetables seems to be quite an in-thing these days and economical.

VinceSummers wrote on July 24, 2020, 12:34 PM

I'm a bitter, sweet, umami kind-of-guy. Why I don't even like garlic! But in small quantities, I don't mind any of 'em. Sauerkraut boiled in two waters and used in a sandwich is OK with me. And pork ribs cooked in sauerkraut is OK, too. And as for peppers, I'm not a huge fan. A little, I do like. Cayenne in particular.

VinceSummers wrote on August 4, 2020, 12:47 PM

After reducing restrictions with a negative result, some have reversed their stand and re-introduced restrictions. Result may be a slight lowering once again, of cases, though it's hard to tell at this point.