By in Health & Fitness

Corona Virus, Part Two, a Continuance...

The U.S. graph of the total number of confirmed coronavirus cases was presented the other day in an earlier article, with the final date of 7-14-2020. The slope of the curve changed beginning approximately at the end of the 3rd week to the beginning of the 4th week of June. This was a time frame in which some government leaders, coupled with restless citizens, began to "return to the outside world", whether with suggested or enforced restrictions, or without restriction.

What I did not do is draw the difference in numbers between what would have been expected to occur, according to the direction the curve had been headed to the direction it did actually go. So I have added to that untouched graph, a thin red line demonstrating the expected curvature, and the indication of the number of extra cases. I marked that in blue.

As can be seen, the blue amounts to approximately 1/2M on the left side of the coordinate system: 1/2 million extra cases. Now most of these will live, but almost certainly quite a few will die. Age, unknown. Health issues, unknown. It doesn't matter. Real deaths.

This was put up by me, not to say everyone should stay indoors, but as statistics only. It's appropriate to give attention to the Law. Ultimately, everyone has to make his or her own decision.


Image Credit » Edited print screen (by author) from the Johns Hopkins Covid-19 web site.

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Comments

MegL wrote on July 16, 2020, 7:48 AM

Yes, no one is saying Coronavirus does not exist. It does and it can be pretty nasty. I am waiting for the 5 year average of deaths to come out before making my decision. I suppose I could do it myself, after all, the information is available on the government statistics site but there are so many other things to do too!

VinceSummers wrote on July 16, 2020, 8:06 AM

I'd love to read about it. Only with the background necessary to understand UK methodology. The U.S. is surely different and handles matters differently.

stbrians wrote on July 16, 2020, 11:48 PM

This pandemic has outlived its stay

VinceSummers wrote on July 17, 2020, 7:13 AM

Not by a long shot, though I figure you mean it's time for it to go, we hope!