By in Science

The Eye of the Storm

We all know that there is an eye of calm in the center of a hurricane, but to experience it is quite different from intellectually knowing it. Horrible gale winds and bullet rains suddenly ease up and the sky is blue, the weather, tranquil.

Then, just as suddenly the pelting rain and overpowering winds are back. If we had slipped in our thinking, and assumed the storm had already finished, we could have to pay dearly for it!

Can this scenario validly be compared to Covid-19, the novel coronavirus?

In some, perhaps many lands, the graphics curve that displays the rate of new cases of the virus is just beginning to decrease in slope, that is, it is on the decrease. The time when most of the graphs flatten out completely is longed for. But when that does happen, will curfews, restrictions, and safeguards be lifted too quickly? If so, will a dangerous recurrence, perhaps worse than the initial breakout, ensue?

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MegL wrote on April 8, 2020, 2:08 PM

That is always a possibility. The lock down is providing firebreaks, so the virus can't jump to a new group of people too easily. Of course, if all the groups start mingling again, it will have a lot of new territory to explore, apart from those who will by them be immune from having had it. If they allow people out too soon, the health services will not have recovered from the first session and so will not be ready for the next wave.

VinceSummers wrote on April 8, 2020, 2:39 PM

And now there is some question as to how much immunity is bought by experiencing this flu. Some claim antibodies are minimal.